Center for Practical AI

CPAI Issue Brief · Work & Economy · Workforce & economy

AI Proficiency & the Workforce

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AI use at work has outrun training, and the fluency that helps the least-experienced most is reaching them last.

What’s happening

AI adoption at work has spread faster than almost any prior technology, while training has barely moved — leaving a gap between using AI and using it well. Meanwhile, the evidence on jobs is more nuanced than the headlines: mostly task change, with the first narrow employment signals only now emerging.

What the evidence shows

Company-reported surveys find about two-thirds of leaders would not hire someone without AI skills, while only 39% of AI users had received any training. The strongest randomized evidence shows AI raising productivity most for the least-experienced workers — about 35% in a field experiment with 5,000+ support agents. Employer-survey projections (WEF) estimate roughly 120 million workers are unlikely to receive the retraining they will need — a projection, not a measurement.

66% vs. 39%

leaders who wouldn't hire without AI skills vs. workers who got training

Microsoft/LinkedIn 2024 — company-reported

~35%

productivity gain for the least-experienced workers

Brynjolfsson, Li & Raymond, QJE 2025

~120M

workers projected unlikely to get needed retraining

WEF Future of Jobs 2025 — projection

Where it reaches constituents

Workers at every level, and the employers and educators who train them. The equity finding — AI fluency helps the least-experienced most — means the training gap falls hardest on the workers with the least, unless programs reach them on purpose.

The current legal & regulatory landscape

The federal America's AI Action Plan (July 2025) includes worker-skilling programs, and Workforce Pell (effective July 2026) extends aid to short credential programs; the Digital Equity Act's capacity grants were terminated in May 2025. North Carolina's roadmap commits to credentialing 50,000+ residents in AI skills by 2028 — and notes the state cannot yet attribute layoffs to AI, because its reporting data was not built to capture it.

In North Carolina

Census Business Trends and Outlook Survey data analyzed by NC Commerce (published July 2026) found 18.9% of North Carolina businesses currently use AI, against 17.9% nationally — while 23.2% report employees using AI for work tasks. Employee use runs ahead of firm adoption. Among NC businesses using AI, roughly 10% report it replaced an employee task against 16.8% reporting it replaced existing software. Separately, an industry analysis using Lightcast data estimates 286,290 North Carolina tech jobs — about 61% of the state's tech workforce — are exposed to large language model technology. The state's AI Strategic Roadmap targets credentialing more than 50,000 residents in employment-enabling AI skills, and the roadmap itself recommends updating the state's WARN data collection to capture AI-related job losses, with a March 2027 deadline — an acknowledgment that the state cannot currently attribute any layoff to AI.

Bill statuses described as of August 19, 2026. Descriptive only — CPAI takes no position on any pending measure.

Considerations policymakers are weighing

  • ·How workforce programs reach the automation-exposed and least-credentialed workers who gain the most.
  • ·Whether "AI skills" funding measures durable capability or just enrollment.
  • ·The data infrastructure needed to know what is actually happening to jobs.

Listed as live debates, not recommendations. CPAI does not take a position on how these should be resolved.

This brief condenses a full, sourced public guide. The complete evidence and citations:

AI Proficiency and the Workforce

Key sources

Company-reported
Microsoft & LinkedIn (2024)Work Trend Index — AI at Work Is HereCompany-reported survey, 31,000 workers across 31 countries: 75% of knowledge workers already use generative AI at work and 78% bring their own tools without employer guidance, yet only 39% of AI users had received company training. Vendor-reported — read as adoption signal, not independent measurement.
Peer-reviewed study
Brynjolfsson, Li & Raymond (2025)Generative AI at WorkNBER working paper 31161; Quarterly Journal of Economics 2025. Field experiment with 5,000+ customer-support agents: +15% productivity on average and about 35% for the least-experienced workers, as AI spread top performers' tacit knowledge to novices.
Projection / forecast
World Economic Forum (2025)Future of Jobs Report 2025Employer-survey projections (1,000+ employers), not measurements: 170 million jobs projected created versus 92 million displaced by 2030; 39% of core skills expected to change; of every 100 workers, 59 will need retraining and roughly 120 million are unlikely to receive it. State as projections.
Working paper · not yet peer-reviewed
Brynjolfsson, Chandar & Chen (2025)Canaries in the Coal Mine? Six Facts about the Recent Employment Effects of AIStanford Digital Economy Lab working paper on payroll data. Since late 2022, employment for early-career workers (roughly ages 22–25) in the most AI-exposed occupations declined about 13% relative to less-exposed peers, while overall employment stayed stable. The first credible employment-level signal — but a working paper, about entry-level roles specifically, and contested in interpretation.
Official policy / primary source
State of North Carolina (2026)Statewide AI Strategic RoadmapIssued July 1, 2026 under Executive Order 24 (Sept 2, 2025). Sets 17 goals across Protect / Prepare / Transform with targets through December 2028 — including foundational AI-literacy training in all 100 counties (via NCWorks, community colleges, and libraries) and credentialing 50,000+ residents in AI skills. These are commitments with deadlines, not appropriations.
Government data
NC Commerce, Labor & Economic Analysis Division (2026)North Carolina AI adoption — Census Business Trends and Outlook Survey analysisAnalysis of the Census BTOS AI Supplement (fielded Nov 2025 – Feb 2026, published July 2026). 18.9% of North Carolina businesses currently use AI against 17.9% nationally, while 23.2% report employees using AI for work tasks — employee use runs ahead of firm adoption. Among NC businesses using AI, roughly 10% report it replaced an employee task, against 16.8% reporting it replaced existing software.
Survey / industry report
NC TECH (2026)North Carolina State of Technology Industry Report — AI exposureIndustry-association analysis using Lightcast data and published GPT exposure scores, estimating 286,290 North Carolina tech jobs — about 61% of the state's tech workforce — as exposed to large language model technology. Exposure is a measure of task overlap, not a forecast of job loss.

A nonpartisan resource

The Center for Practical AI is a nonpartisan 501(c)(3) nonprofit. We provide education, research, and analysis, and we offer briefings and testimony on request. We do not endorse candidates or lobby for or against specific legislation. Everything here describes the evidence and the current landscape — the policy choices are yours.

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